
Effective economic advice almost invariably requires economic
arguments to be supported by empirical evidence. RBB personnel
have considerable expertise and experience in the practical application
of quantitative techniques in various competition law contexts.
We are able to judge which empirical technique or techniques best
meet the requirements of each particular case. We have employed
quantitative techniques in submissions made to the EC Commission
and to national competition authorities throughout Europe. In addition,
RBB personnel have provided expert Court testimony on the application
of econometrics.
Virtually all our work involves some empirical
element. RBB economists have undertaken more advanced empirical
analysis for clients including
General Electric, the FA Premier League, Philips and Shell.
The type of quantitative techniques that
RBB personnel have employed include the following:
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Econometric Analysis |
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Econometric analysis is frequently undertaken
to estimate the price elasticity of demand in the context
of assessing market definition, but it can also be used
in many other settings where there is a requirement to
produce a systematic estimate of an economic relationship.
Econometric analysis consists of a set of tools employing
statistical methods which are used to evaluate real world
competitive relationships. These same statistical methods
permit such models to be tested, both in terms of the magnitude
of the relationship and also how closely such models correspond
to reality (ie to test whether the model is a “good” one
or a “bad” one). By allowing the impact of
all relevant factors to be taken into account at the same
time, econometric analysis offers a very useful empirical
method for assessing the nature of competition in an industry. |
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Critical Loss Analysis |
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Critical loss analysis can be used to assess
the appropriate definition of the relevant market by estimating
the magnitude of sales that would to be lost in response
to a relevant price increase. Using information on a firm’s
margins and an estimate of the magnitude of lost sales,
critical loss analysis can be used to implement directly
the hypothetical monopolist test. |
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Price Correlation Analysis |
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Price correlation analysis has been routinely
employed by competition authorities in Europe both to assess
the definition of the relevant product market and the definition
of the relevant geographic market. However, the results
of price correlation analysis require careful interpretation
which must take place in
the context of the overall competitive assessment. |
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Bidding Studies |
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In some industries, competition takes the
form of firms bidding for tenders. In such industries,
the assessment of competition often needs to go beyond
market share analysis and rather focus on the credibility
of each firm in competing for tenders. Bidding studies
can also be used to assess the closeness of competition
between merging parties by assessing the ranking of firms
in each of the observed bids. |
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Price/Concentration Analysis |
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Price-concentration studies assess the relationship
between price and concentration across a number of countries
or regions. Such studies can be used to assess whether
high concentration is indicative of significant market
power. Typically, such analysis would need to take into
account other factors in assessing the relationship between
price and market concentration. |
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Merger Simulation Modelling |
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Merger simulation modelling employs econometric
techniques to estimate the likely impact of a merger on
price. Such techniques also require some assumptions to
be made about how firms compete with one another. In assessing
the usefulness of simulation models it is therefore critically
important that the underlying assumptions regarding the
competitive interactions between firms adequately reflect
observed behaviour in the industry under consideration. |
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